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24/05/2013

News – General & International

China objects to participation of US, UK in peace talk
Eleven News Media  - 24 May 2013

China’s objection has led to the removal of the participation of the United States and the United Kingdom as observers in a peace talk between the government and the Kachin Independence Organization (KIO), San Aung of Peace Coordinating Group (PCG) said.

In spite of the representatives of the US and UK being unable to participate in the peace talk, Vijay Nambiar, UN Secretary-General’s Special Adviser to Myanmar, and Chinese delegates will attend the peace talk, San Aung said.

The KIO can guarantee that strong pledges will be achieved if the US and the UK participate in the peace talk. We can also do that. We have to monitor how much improvement we will see in the participation of the UN and China in the peace talk, San Aung added.

The KIO invited the US and the UK to participate in the peace talk in April, but as soon as China had known about that, it objected to it. Despite the US and the UK do not participate in the peace talk, the KIO accepted for organizing the peace talk in case it would fail, San Aung said.

All nine ethnic armed groups have been already invited to attend the peace talk. It is not known yet whether they will do or not.

The government and the KIO already agreed in principle to go on the peace talk in Myitkyina, Dr Min Zaw Oo, Director of ceasefire of Myanmar Peace Centre said.

The already invited ethnic armed groups are the KNU, the KNPP, the CNF, the PNLO, the NMSP, the SSPP, the UWSP, the RCSS and the NDAA.

The two-month long peace talk was earlier planned in Myitkyina on April 6, but it had to be postponed as China objected to the participation of the UK and the US. The peace talk was due to resume in Myitkyina on May 28.

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Japan PM heads to Myanmar on sales mission
AFP - 24 May 2013

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe flies to Myanmar Friday bearing almost $1 billion in development aid and a plan for a nationwide electricity grid as Japan tries to grab the box seats in the country's quickening development.

Abe follows in the footsteps of other world leaders who have flocked to the former pariah state since it was welcomed back to the international community after a nominally civilian government was installed.

In the first visit by a Japanese premier since 1977, Abe will be playing the role of salesman-in-chief for Japan Inc. as part of an attempt to treble the value of infrastructure exports to help revive his country's slumbering economy.

Diplomatic niceties were being observed ahead of the trip, with a foreign ministry official saying Tokyo wanted to help at a time of rapid change in Myanmar.

The visit will "show that both the public and private sectors of Japan will provide full-fledged support to Myanmar's efforts toward democratisation, enhancement of the rule of law, marketisation and national reconciliation," he said.

Abe, whose approval ratings at home are sky-high on the back of encouraging economic figures and healthy stock market gains, will spend three days in Myanmar, the official said.

A report by the business daily Nikkei on Thursday said he would be announcing 100 billion yen ($980 million) in development aid.

Abe will be accompanied by a 40-strong business delegation including chief executive officers of some of Japan's top companies, including trading houses Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Marubeni and Sumitomo, and infrastructure firms Taisei and JGC, the official said.

During Abe's visit, Japan will lay out a basic plan for the development of electric power infrastructure in Myanmar by 2030, including a proposal to use green technologies in which Japanese companies such as Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Hitachi and Toshiba have an edge, the Nikkei report said.

The premier said last week he wanted Japan to sell infrastructure worth 30 trillion yen by 2020 and pledged to travel around the world to make sales pitches.

Former junta-ruled Myanmar is an obvious destination for Abe; it needs investment to spur growth and replace its dilapidated infrastructure, while export-reliant Japan is hunting new opportunities in the resource-rich nation to offset sluggish domestic growth.

Outside the economic agenda, Abe is expected to raise the issue of Myanmar's ethnic minorities, following episodes of communal bloodshed in recent months, the official said.

"The next two to three years are important not only for the ASEAN countries but also for our bilateral relations," he said, noting that Myanmar will assume the chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations next year and that "there are many things to be done" in Myanmar's political reform.

"The biggest message to Myanmar... is that the Abe administration thinks that the ASEAN countries are very important to Japan and Myanmar is the only country that neither the foreign minister nor the prime minister has yet visited," he said.

As well as a Sunday summit with President Thein Sein, Abe will on Saturday meet democracy icon and opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, who was in Japan last month.

Unlike its Western allies, Japan maintained trade ties and dialogue with Myanmar during years of junta rule which ended in 2011, saying a hard line could push it closer to key ally China.

"Myanmar... urgently needs concrete assistance from Japan," an official from the Myanmar presidential office, who did not want to be named, told AFP.

"Japan will be able to help in technology, banking, currency markets, human resource development, trade, investment, agriculture, factories, debt relief, increasing assistance and infrastructure," he said.

The two countries in December agreed to start work this year on a huge industrial zone near Yangon.

In January Japanese finance minister Taro Aso said Japan will stand by pledges to waive Myanmar's debt and extend new loans.

Japan's previous government announced in April 2012 that it would forgive 300 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of the 500 billion yen owed by Myanmar, following a string of dramatic political reforms.

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Burma: Japanese Leader’s Visit Should Highlight Rights, Says HRW
Eurasia Review - 23 May 2013

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe should make improving the human rights situation in Burma a top priority during his visit to the country this week, Human Rights Watch said today. Abe’s three-day visit, which begins May 24, 2013, will be the first by a Japanese leader to Burma in 36 years. Dozens of major Japanese corporations will accompany the prime minister.

Despite important changes in Burma, key human rights pledges by Burmese leaders remain unrealized. These include granting full humanitarian access to ethnic conflict areas, releasing all remaining political prisoners, amending abusive laws, and allowing the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights to establish offices in the country.

“As Burma’s biggest aid donor and a major investor, Japan can play a critical role by pressing harder for human rights reforms and protections,” said Brad Adams, Asia director. “Aid and investment in Burma should not ignore needed reforms in the rule of law, transparency, and accountability.”

Japan is the largest aid donor to Burma, having extended US$500 million in the last year for concessional loans, and US$200 million in grant aid and technical assistance for agricultural development, health, and disaster preparedness. Abe is expected to announce a 50 percent increase in Overseas Development Assistance (ODA) during his visit, and a major program to revamp Burma’s postal system. Under the 1991 “Four Principles of ODA” and the ODA Charter of 1992, Japan has pledged to pay full attention to democracy, basic human rights, and freedoms in its aid decisions.

The Japanese government should ensure that investments and development projects do not contribute to land seizures and forced displacement throughout Burma. For instance, international telecommunications companies risk being linked to human rights abuses if they enter the Burmese market before adequate protections are in place. The Burmese government has not yet created a legal framework for the telecommunications sector that respects basic human rights, including the rights to freedom of expression and privacy. Two Japanese companies are participating in the tender process for two nationwide telecommunications licenses that Burma’s government will award in June.

“Japan has significant leverage to push the Burmese government in the right direction and pursue rights-respecting development that places public participation at its core,” Adams said. “Japan’s leaders should make sure that implementation of their aid projects match the rights rhetoric around them.”

Human Rights Watch called on Japan to ensure that its companies invest responsibly and transparently to avoid contributing to human rights abuses. Japanese companies should be required to respect human rights and take concrete steps – known as “human rights due diligence” – to prevent and address any rights abuses. The Japanese government should also mandate public reporting on investment in Burma, in line with United States requirements that were finalized on May 23.

“Japan should frontload human rights concerns during the political and economic transition in Burma,” Adams said. “Development projects in Burma have frequently been synonymous with abuses such as forced labour, land evictions, and denial of basic rights, and Japan should use its leverage to ensure these abuses end.”

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Swiss Upper House Speaker paves the way for Swiss investments in Myanmar
Eleven News Media - 23 May 2013

Swiss Upper House Speaker Fillippo Lombardi met with Myanmar’s Vice President Nyan Tun at the President’s Office in capital Nay Pyi Taw yesterday to discuss possible Swiss investments in Myanmar, according to the reports from President’s Office.

Fillippo Lombardi, President of the Council of States (Switzerland), talked about the progress of political and economic reforms in Myanmar, and pledged to strengthen bilateral ties between the two countries.

The two leaders discussed the investments Swiss businessmen can contribute to Myanmar, which has potential to become an emerging country in the region as it has re-engaged with the global communities after several decades of isolation.

The leaders also discussed the peace process, food security, education, employment opportunities and healthcare sectors of Myanmar, which are fundamental to the economic stability of a country.

Zin Yaw, Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, and Aye Kyu, Deputy Minister for Education, and respective senior officials participated in the meeting.

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Australia announces 30pc aid boost
Myanmar Times - 23 May 2013

Australia will increase its assistance to Myanmar by almost 30 percent this year, the embassy in Yangon announced last week.

Official development assistance will rise from AU$64.2 million (US$62.13 million) to AU$82.8 million ($80.13 million) in 2013-14, Michael Hassett, head of development assistance at the embassy, said in a statement on May 23.

“Australia remains committed to assisting Myanmar to implement reforms and overcome poverty.  This is demonstrated by the increase in our funding of AU$18.6 million ($18 million) compared with last year,” Mr Hassett said.

The statement said Australian assistance to Myanmar, which is managed by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID), will focus on improving education and health services, while also helping to strengthen governance and institutions.

This is part of the Australian Government’s overall commitment to increase the size of the Australian aid program to $5.7 billion – up from $5.2 billion in 2012-13.  This will increase Australia’s Official Development Assistance to 0.37 per cent of its Gross National Income.

Over the next three years, Australia’s funding will help avert more than 25,000 deaths of children under five and more than 3000 maternal deaths, the statement said. It will also see learning kits provided to 1.3 million primary students and 31,000 teachers trained.

It will also support increased agricultural productivity, food availability and household income for up to two million people.

Australia will also continue to provide humanitarian assistance to those affected by disasters and conflict, the statement said.

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News – Ethnic nationalities/Border conflict/ Ethnic Armies

SSAS denies link to two deaths in northern Shan
Myanmar Times - 24 May 2013

By Tim McLaughlin

A spokesman for the political wing of the Shan State Army-South has denied allegations that its soldiers killed two government employees at a Myanma Oil and Gas Enterprise in northern Shan State earlier this month.

The clash, which took place on May 13 near the Chinese border, was first reported by the state-run New Light of Myanmar on May 15. The report said that members of the Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army (RCSS/SSA) opened fire on the compound near Naungmata village in Namkham township.

U Yawd Murng, secretary general of the RCSS Department of Foreign Affairs, said he was “100 percent” sure it was not Shan State Army-South soldiers.

“It was not us. We are not responsible,” he told The Myanmar Times on May 22.

He said that the accusations were part of an ongoing government campaign to blame the group for unrest in the region.

U Yawd Murng, who was in Yangon for meetings with officials from the Myanmar Peace Centre, said he did not know which group carried out the attack, which came at a time of increased tension in Shan State.

He said the large number of armed ethnic groups operating in the area makes it difficult to verify which one was responsible.

U Yawd Murng’s talks with chief government peace negotiator U Aung Min at the Myanmar Peace Centre come following fierce fighting between the Tatmadaw and Shan State Army-South in recent months, with fresh clashes reportedly taking place between May 17 and 21.

The RCSS said the deadliest day of fighting was May 17, when two battles in the southern Shan State townships of Hopong and His Hseng claimed the lives of nine Tatmadaw soldiers and two Shan State Army-South soldiers.

Neither officials from the Tatmadaw nor presidential spokesman and Deputy Minister for Information U Ye Htut could not be reached for comment or to confirm the casualty figures.

RCSS/SSA chairman Lieutenant General Yawd Serk met U Aung Min on February 19 in Chiang Mai, Thailand for informal talks.

They have not met since but U Yawd Murng confirmed that U Aung Min had invited Lt Gen Yawd Serk to visit Nay Pyi Taw. A date for the meeting has not yet been agreed.

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People in ‘authority’ approve land theft
Karen News - 23 May 2013

By Saw Blacktown

Saw Albert, the field director of the Karen Human Rights Group, in an exclusive interview with Karen News, said that since Burma’s 2010 election, changes in the government’s administration has allowed a lot of business and development projects to come into the country that are stealing land from ethnic villagers’.

“Many people think that Burma has opened up and the situation has improved. When we hear the word ‘development’, it sounds positive and beneficial, but it is not the case. The way development projects are being implemented in our areas, they are not beneficial to our local communities or villagers.”

Saw Albert says that “as more investments and economic developments come in, local villagers are losing their land to hydro-power dam projects, special economic zones (SEZ’s) or to other construction projects.”

Saw Albert points out that the 2012 cease-fire agreements reached between the government and “ethnic armed groups, including the KNU [Karen National Union]…is a positive change as it is a relief for local villagers to be able to live more peacefully since there is little fighting.”

Saw Albert says that despite the ‘positives’ from the ceasefire agreements villagers are still being abused and their lands stolen.

“Previously, we’ve seen that most cases of land confiscation took place when the Burma Army took villagers’ land to build military camps or to use it for military purposes. After the ceasefire agreement land confiscation is now because of business or development projects.”

Saw Albert explains that KHRG field research has found that if “human right violations are compared before the ceasefire and after the ceasefire periods, we find that human right violations on local communities are still the same. In the past, villagers were displaced due to fighting – now villagers lose their farmlands or have their villages destroyed by flooding from construction or dams [projects].”

Saw Albert says KHRG field researchers documented testimonies from “some villagers who told us that in the past, during armed conflict they could at times sneak back to [collect products] from their betel nut or durian plantations, but now all their plantations and houses are under water and they can’t get anything. The impacts are still as serious now as the human right violations were during [periods] of armed conflict.”

Saw Albert claims that, “most of the land-grabbing incidents taking place now are being done with the involvement of people in authority. I mean government officials who have granted permission and allow [development] activities to be carried out.”

Saw Albert explains that many groups with ‘authority’ are involved in ‘profiting’ by taking land from villagers.

“Other groups such as local government or ethnic armed groups are also involved in land grabbing. This includes authorities from within the KNU in Karen areas although the level of involvement varies between direct or indirect.”

Saw Albert says it is not easy for developers to just turn up and start construction or rip out trees without ‘official permission’ from a wide range of local authorities.

“For example, those who come into Karen areas to do business or development projects can’t just come in and do it with official government permission. They also have to get permission from local authorities. In Karen State, authorities are not just the government and the KNU, there are also other [armed militia] groups such as the Border Guard Force and DKBA -business people also need to get their permission.”

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Refugees too distrustful of government to go home
S.H.A.N. - 23 May 2013

By KP

Following a series of attack on Shan State Army (SSA) Task Force 701 base on Sino-Burma border by the Burma Army two weeks ago, which sent thousands of refugees to China, although the fight was over, people are still fearful to return home as they distrust the army, said local news sources from Namkham.

 “People return to their homes in day time, but dare not spend the night, so in the evening they cross back to China for rest. Let alone the people who live on the other side of the Mao (Shwe) River, even for people in the town of Namkham, it is a nightmare at night. Bomb blasts and gun fires would occur here and there. Moreover, Burma Army is also reinforcing its troops in the area with troops from Mandalay. This impact on the people’s life and they are suffering mentally,” said Sai Ai Mon, a member of Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP) Namkham branch.

It has been reported that the commander of Burma Army’s area command met with the refugees and unsuccessfully persuaded them to return home.

Meanwhile, the Burma Army is also reinforcing its troops in the Loi Hohso area bordering between Namkham Township and Kachin State, which has sent people from Wan Sawn, Kunkeng, Kawng Nawng, Samtan, Wanmai, Hinlong further 6 villages to Xiao Yun Pan village in China, added local sources.

Related to the above news sources, SHAN has reached out to the SSA Task Force 701 commander Lt-Col Zawm Mong who said, “As we are relocated between east and west of Kachin Independence Army, if the Burma Army decides to use force, they [Burma Army] will first encounter the KIA troops either from east or west. It is not yet clear if the Burma Army will attack any time soon. On the other hand, KIO and Burma Army are preparing for a peace talk. The army may not want to put the peace talk at risk.”

Meanwhile Sai Ai Mon said 2 Shan political parties from Namkham are actively joining hands to get support and relief aid to the refugees for their daily survival.

“Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP) and Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD) are collecting rice, cooking oil, salt, medicine, clothing and other utensils in the town. Those supplies will be delivered to the refugees on 24 May. Burma Army is also said to have distributed rice 5 pey (16 litters) per family to some villages, which were seized from SSA Task Force base. And 1 bag (60 litters) of rice per household are also being distributed through the Border and Rural Development Program. The government even has promised to repair the houses which were destroyed during the fighting. People say, many of the houses were destroyed after the attacks. However, whatever the government is trying to amend and heal the wounds by this kind of support, people will not believe them”.

Similarly, young people from Muse also have been collecting donations from the town, said a young man from Muse.

“Since 13 May, we have been visiting door-to-door toke-su (fundraising) for the refugees in Muse. People are generously offering donations. Within 5 days, we have raised 2 million Kyat ($2,200). We have already delivered 12 bags of rice to the refugees. Now we are collecting the funds. Although the army has told the refugees that now they can return home, people will do so only if there is a certain organization that can give them a guarantee for their safety. Some houses have been looted in which they lost between $ 2,000–$ 3,000. Some also said to have lost national identification (ID) cards. Some people complain the loss of ID cards in tears,” said a Muse native Ai Sai.

Due to the attack on SSA Task Force base 701 in Namkham Township on Sino-Burma border by a 400-strong force under the control of Military Operations Command #16, people from Nawng Ma and other villages in the region have fled to China for their safety at the time of reporting.

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News – Government / Political Parties

Judicial power must be free from executive interference
Eleven News Media - 23 May 2013

The clause of “the President’s direct appointment to the Chief Justice” prescribed in the Constitution must be amended because it enables disruption to rule of law, MP Aung San Suu Kyi said at the media conference held at parliament building on May 21.

“The clause means that the executive power influences over judicial power. Only if this clause is amended, the judicial power will be independent. If the judicial power is not independent, rule of law is just a dream. The judicial power must be clean. The inappropriate clauses in the Constitution must be amended,” Aung San Suu Kyi said.

The reviewing committee for the Constitution needs to pave the right way for changes in the Constitution through goodwill. There are many inappropriate clauses prescribed in the Constitution. These facts must be amended, Aung San Suu Kyi added.

Regarding the problems facing in the judicial sector, Aung San Suu Kyi explained that the first problem was under the influence of the executive power and the second was money matter.

The amendment to the 2008 Constitution is up to everyone in favour of democracy. If we want genuine democracy, the Constitution must be amended. The defence service personnel are also responsible for the amendment to the Constitution, Aung San Suu Kyi said.

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News – Business / Economy / Industry

Italian-Thai’s hydropower project in lower Myanmar allegedly stops
Eleven News Media - 24 May 2013

Myanmar government has allegedly stopped a hydropower dam project with Italian-Thai Company in Taninthayi region of lower Myanmar due to concern of possible environmental and social impacts.

Italian-Thai’s dam project located near Myeik township will generate about 800 mega watt (MW) electricity upon completion, but it will pose flood risks to the thousands of acres of farms and lands in the area.

The environmental and social impact analysis reports suggest that the dam project should not continue. It has been informed to the President’s Office which has given approval to stop the project, sources said.

“We are glad to hear the news. We welcome this action which considers the welfare of the local people,” a local from Dawei township said.

Italian-Thai Development Plc, which is undertaking the Dawei Deep Sea Port and Special Economic Zone Project in Taninthayi, has planned to export generated electricity from the dam to Thailand, and to use some electricity in Dawei Deep Sea Port Project.

The Thai construction giant took a feasibility survey for the project in March 2011. They proposed the Ministry of Electrical Power to install the dam of 600MW capacity on Taninthayi River and signed a contract with the authorities.

The firm later planned to increase the capacity of the dam nearly twice. In other words, the dam was planned to generate about 1040MW electricity. Studies showed that the dam can cause floods in the area and about 61,000 acres of farmlands are exposed to the risk.

“The project is situated at Aungthawara area near Myeik township. The area is rich in gold resources. The company has completed preliminary studies. The project hasn’t started. But roads have been built,” a person who has insight about the project said.

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SMEs urged to invest in Myanmar
Bangkok Post - 24 May 2013

With ample business opportunities arising from the upcoming Asean Economic Community (AEC), Thai businesses are urged to set up a foothold in neighbouring Southeast Asian nations despite unclear investment regulations in Myanmar.

Prachuab Supinee, Thailand's commercial counsellor in Myanmar, called on Thai companies including small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to develop a presence in Myanmar to understand the market and find partners.

"If you are actually in the market, you will know the market potential. SMEs in particular will never know what's happening there if they don't invest," he said on Thursday at an AEC seminar hosted by KPMG Thailand.

"Development is happening quickly in Myanmar. After opening the Mandalay checkpoint for foreign access, it opened two more checkpoints last month including one at Ban Phu Nam Ron in Kanchanaburi."

Myanmar's manufacturing sector does not have enough capacity to serve domestic demand, providing opportunities for Thai companies to set up production or distribution there. Of a population of 48 million people, 80% are in favour of imported products, especially Thai products, because they believe the goods are better quality than those locally made, said Mr Prachuab.

"I don't see any major obstacles for doing business in Myanmar," he said.

Nuttaphong Visitkitchakarn, Kasikornbank's chief representative in Yangon, said some issues remain unclear.

For example, it remains murky when foreign banks will be allowed to open branches. At present, 30 representative offices of foreign banks operate in Myanmar, and it is likely the country will allow joint ventures with local banks next year, said Mr Nuttaphong, adding that it will take two more years for insurance businesses to set up there.

"I wouldn't recommend investing in a plant in Myanmar right now, but if you start a trading business, there is nothing to worry about," he added.

The Commerce Ministry reported Asean is the largest export market for Thailand, with shipment value doubling the size of markets such as the US, Japan, and the EU. Exports to Asean are worth US$56 billion annually.

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Burma’s Kyat Currency Slumps As Imports Flood In
Irrawaddy - 24 May 2013

By Aung Hla Tun and Jared Ferrie| Reuters|

Burma’s currency has plunged more than 7 percent over the past month to the lowest since it was floated last year, raising concern about economic stability in Asia’s newest democracy.

The drop coincides with a construction boom in Burma’s commercial capital, Rangoon, which is fuelling demand for dollars as builders import equipment and materials, part of a scramble by investors to tap one of the world’s last frontier markets after an easing of sanctions by Western countries.

Money changers such as Kyaw Naing say people are hoarding dollars, expecting further rises, in the first major bout of currency speculation since Burma emerged from military rule in March 2011 and introduced political and economic reforms.

“We are getting fewer customers now because people don’t want to sell their dollars, because they know the value will rise even higher,” Kyaw Naing said, holding a fistful of the kyat currency in his hole-in-the-wall stall in Rangoon.

The sliding kyat is welcome relief for rice farmers and other exporters but has prompted concern over the stability of Burma’s tiny, long-isolated economy, posing one of the biggest challenges yet for policy makers who introduced a managed float of the currency in April 2012.

“It’s quite clear that the plunging kyat has already had a strong impact on the import industry and it will affect consumers,” said a senior official from the Ministry of Commerce, noting Burma’s average April-May import bill of $30 million a day was about 17 percent higher than last year.

A disastrous “Burmese Way to Socialism” introduced after a 1962 coup followed by sweeping nationalization and decades of military mismanagement have left Burma heavily dependent on imports for basic needs, from edible oils to condensed milk and medicine, official data shows.

“The plunging kyat has had a strong negative impact on importers of all goods – medicines, electronic appliances, computers, edible oil, diesel, you name it,” said Soe Tun, a director of several businesses including Farmer, the country’s biggest car showroom.

Western academics and economists advising the government, however, say the currency has been overvalued and needs to fall to help farmers, the vast majority of whom have yet to benefit from the country’s reforms. Seventy percent of Burma’s 60 million people live on farms.

The International Monetary Fund said in a report in May last year that the kyat was overvalued by as much as 40 percent.

But bankers and importers caution against such a large swing in a fragile economy emerging from decades of misrule and isolation.

“Stability of the exchange rate is critical to confidence in the economy,” said Hal Bosher, chief executive of Yoma Bank, a private lender with branches across Burma.

“NO NEED TO INTERVENE”

Currency reform is a delicate task in Burma. In 1987, the sudden cancellation of certain banknote denominations by late dictator General Ne Win wiped out many people’s savings and helped trigger a pro-democracy uprising the following year that was crushed by the military, killing thousands.

For 35 years until last year, the kyat was pegged to the International Monetary Fund’s special drawing rights at 6.4 kyat per US dollar, a rate about 125 times stronger than the black-market rate of 800 to 820 kyat used for most transactions.

On April 2 last year, a new reference rate was set, initially 818 per dollar, as the first phase of a plan to create a market rate, simplifying foreign trade and investment.

The kyat gradually weakened, losing about 8 percent to 890 per dollar by May 8 this year. The next day, it dropped to 900 and kept falling, hitting 946 to the dollar on Thursday.

A senior central bank official said a stronger dollar and currency speculation were behind the weaker kyat, which she said the authorities were monitoring. “I don’t think we need to intervene at this point,” she said, asking for anonymity since she was not authorized to speak to media.

Authorities are working closely with the IMF which concluded an annual review of Burma’s economy on Wednesday.

“Volumes traded in the daily central bank auctions are increasing. The Central Bank of Burma is smoothing exchange rate fluctuations without targeting a specific rate,” IMF team leader Matt Davies said in a statement.

The central bank still falls under the Finance Ministry but a new central bank law expected in the middle of the year will give it operational autonomy.

Davies said foreign direct investment inflows should outweigh a widening current-account deficit, suggesting the dollar shortage could correct itself over time.

Bosher at Yoma Bank said the current central bank arrangement meant there was a risk monetary decision-making could be influenced by political concerns, a possible factor in the recent kyat trend.

He said the government was aware a weaker kyat would help farmers who would benefit from better prices for dollar-denominated rice exports. They make up a sizable portion of Burma’s 70 percent rural population. Exporters of other commodities such as teak would benefit too.

Kyi Myint, an economist and independent member of parliament, said the government’s withdrawal of foreign exchange certificates (FECs) may have also contributed to a sudden increase in demand for dollars. The FECs were first issued by the former junta in 1993 as a surrogate for US dollars.

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Analysis / Opinion

A Burmese spring
The Economist - 25 May 2013

After 50 years of brutal military rule, Myanmar’s democratic opening has been swift and startling, says Richard Cockett. Now the country needs to move fast to heal its ethnic divisions

A WALK AROUND battered, ramshackle Yangon, Myanmar’s biggest city and former capital, quickly makes it clear how far the country has fallen behind the rest of Asia over the past half-century. In large part the place is but a ghostly reminder of former glories. Under British colonial rule, before independence in 1948, Rangoon (as it was then) was a thriving, cosmopolitan entrepot, the capital of Burma, one of the region’s wealthiest countries. All that came to an abrupt end in 1962 after a junta of army officers, led by the brutal General Ne Win, seized power and launched the country on the quasi-Marxist “Burmese Way to Socialism”. Private foreign-owned businesses were nationalised, prompting the exodus of hundreds of thousands of people, many of Indian origin. The country’s tenuous attachment to democracy was broken. Myanmar, as Burma was later renamed by its ruling generals, retreated into itself. Comprehensive Western sanctions hit home from the mid-1990s onwards, only slightly alleviated by an injection of Asian money.

Yangon, with its old cars and bookshops selling textbooks from the 1950s, attests to this seclusion. The colonial-era banks, law courts and department stores, once as imposing as any in Kolkata or Shanghai, have all but crumbled away. Except for the magnificent Shwedagon Pagoda, lovingly regilded to welcome the crowds of pilgrims and tourists, most of the city seems to have remained untouched for decades. Even youthful rebellion is stuck in a time-warp. Boys are still gamely attempting to flout authority by dressing up as punk-rockers.

But now the country has seen another about-turn, almost as abrupt as that in 1962. Over the past two years dramatic reforms introduced by a new president, Thein Sein, prompted by the country’s increasingly desperate economic straits, have started a rapid transition from secretive isolation to an open democracy of sorts. The mere fact of such a change taking place has surprised the world; its speed and breadth have caused widespread bewilderment.

Even in careworn Yangon the signs are everywhere. The pavements are cluttered with traders selling an array of newspapers, newly licensed and privately owned, carrying pictures of Aung San Suu Kyi, the leader of the National League for Democracy (NLD). Less than two years ago the image of the defiant Nobel peace-prize laureate was banned; under a strict censorship system her name could not even be mentioned in the press. Now all censorship before publication has been lifted; any paper, such as the NLD’s own newspaper D Wave, can apply to publish daily; and Miss Suu Kyi’s photo festoons T-shirts, mugs and biros for sale on almost every street corner. People are still excited about being able to speak freely, even about politics, without constantly having to look over their shoulders. Some of those interviewed for this special report had never before talked to a foreigner, let alone a foreign journalist.

With greater political freedom has come economic change. Almost all Western sanctions against the country have been lifted, and the country is swiftly reconnecting with the international financial system. Visitors no longer have to wander around with so many wads of dirty old kyat, the local currency, in their pockets: the first international ATM in Yangon has recently started disgorging fresh banknotes. Some outlets are now accepting credit cards. Real Western brands, rather than pirated versions, are about to appear in a few shops. An influx of relatively wealthy foreigners and returned natives will need new offices and apartments. Prime parts of Yangon are rapidly being flattened to cater for the expected demand.

Myanmar’s transformation is the most significant event to have taken place in South-East Asia in the past decade, and this special report will argue that it will have important consequences for the rest of Asia as well. In the space of just a few years almost every aspect of life has been touched by the reform programme. Not only was Miss Suu Kyi released from house arrest in November 2010, but the vast majority of the country’s thousands of political prisoners have been freed. The NLD, harassed for decades and then declared illegal for refusing to participate in rigged elections in 2010, is legitimate once more. In April 2012 it won 43 out of 44 seats it contested in by-elections, the country’s first free and fair polls since the 1950s: its MPs, led by Miss Suu Kyi, now sit in parliament.

The blacklists barring former political opponents of the regime and “hostile” journalists have been put away. A new labour law covering private industry has encouraged the formation of new trade unions. Once a byword for bleak authoritarianism, Myanmar is now doing better than some of its Asian peers on civil and political rights.

International financial institutions such as the World Bank have returned, often after writing off the country’s old debts. Thein Sein now tours the world’s capitals much like any other leader, even if he does not get the rapturous welcome given to Miss Suu Kyi wherever she goes. And this December Myanmar celebrates its return to regional respectability by hosting the South-East Asian Games for the first time since the 1960s.

Foreign governments and multinationals have converged on a country that occupies a unique geostrategic position between the new Asian superpowers of India to the west and China to the east. Private companies are jostling to capture a share of an almost virginal consumer market of some 60m people. This special report will weigh the pros and cons of rushing into what investors are calling “the final frontier”.

Don’t cheer too soon

The new sense of optimism and confidence among Myanmar’s own people is still tinged with caution. Hopes in the past have been raised by modest doses of liberalisation, only to be dashed again. It is also clear that in easing military control, Myanmar’s reformers have provided an opening for dark forces that authoritarian rule had kept in check. Since June 2012, starting in the city of Sittwe in western Rakhine state, Buddhist mobs have killed hundreds of Muslims and razed their mosques and homes to the ground. It was not what the reformers had intended, but the effects of relaxing restrictions can be unpredictable.

The first two months of 2013 also saw the heaviest fighting yet between the Myanmar army and the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), an armed militia of the Kachin people. Like many of the other ethnic minorities that make up about 40% of Myanmar’s population, the Kachin, in the far north of the country, have been battling for decades for autonomy and against majority Burman rule. For all the past two years’ economic and political progress in the Burman heartlands in the centre of the country, much of the periphery remains largely cut off and in a state of, at best, suspended hostilities.

Thein Sein’s government has signed ceasefire agreements with most of the armed groups, but a lasting political solution still seems a long way off. It will require proper citizens’ rights to be granted to the country’s entire population, including marginalised people like the Rohingya Muslims, which all of Myanmar’s rulers since independence have neglected to do. This special report will argue that the current period of upheaval is the best possible opportunity to resolve these ethnic disputes.

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Myanmar and America: The ultimate endorsement
The Economist - 25 May 2013

Its commitment to reform has been impressive, but stern tests lie ahead for Myanmar

WHEN Thein Sein was picked by his fellow generals to lead Myanmar a little over two years ago, the country was a pariah state, ostracised by the West, shut off from the mainstream of Asian prosperity and ground down after decades of brutal, corrupt and inept military rule. Yet this week Mr Thein Sein was welcomed to the White House, chatting with Barack Obama and soaking up the American president’s praise for Myanmar’s bold and fast-moving reforms.

The top-down transformation

As our special report this week shows, Myanmar has undergone a remarkable transformation. Ruled by the generals, the country, which many know as Burma, was a blank space. Now it is finding its place again at a nexus between China, the Indian subcontinent and South-East Asia. The neighbours are pouring in with road- and port-building projects to reconnect Myanmar to its region. And now that they have lifted nearly all sanctions, Europeans and Americans are also excited, sizing up a country of 64m people that is rich in resources and market potential. Empty rooms in the rundown hotels of the commercial capital, Yangon, are suddenly as rare as hen’s teeth.

The precursor to this was a profound change in Myanmar’s politics under Mr Thein Sein. In late 2010 Aung San Suu Kyi was released from house arrest. Thousands of other political prisoners are also free. Dozens from Miss Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy, once persecuted, now sit in a parliament that people thought would be a poodle but which has shown real bite. A once-stifled press has found its voice and politics, a topic that was long taboo, is part of common conversation. At last, ordinary Burmese can aspire to share a better future—quite possibly with Miss Suu Kyi as president in 2015.

Myanmar’s is a top-down revolution and many of its motives are unclear. But at the least Mr Thein Sein and his allies lamented the dead end into which their country was driven, first by military-led socialism and then, under Mr Thein Sein’s pitiless predecessor, Than Shwe, by army cronies plundering the country’s wealth. In regional meetings with prosperous neighbours, Myanmar’s backwardness was a mounting humiliation. Above all, isolation had allowed the Chinese, much resented, to gain economic dominance.

Mr Thein Sein’s bravest act was to face up to the fact that Mr Than Shwe’s notions of a “disciplined democracy” and strictly rationed freedoms would lead nowhere. They could never bring round Miss Suu Kyi, with her huge moral force at home and abroad. And without her approval the West would never drop its crippling sanctions. So, in a famous meeting about which both are tight-lipped, Mr Thein Sein and Miss Suu Kyi talked in August 2011 and found that they trusted each other. The pace of change accelerated from that point. Both deserve credit. So, too, does American diplomacy, for using calibrated concessions to draw the rulers out of their seclusion, culminating in Mr Thein Sein’s visit to Washington this week.

Yet Mr Thein Sein and Miss Suu Kyi both have much more to do. Army assaults on ethnic groups and communal unrest—in particular violence by Buddhist mobs against the Muslim Rohingya—underscore how far Myanmar is from achieving peace and democracy. So far change has come largely to the Burman-dominated centre. Around the periphery, home to ethnic groups that make up two-fifths of the population, little has changed. Now Myanmar must find peaceful ways to end long-running civil conflicts. A new constitution creating a federal state and guaranteeing equal rights to all, Rohingya included, is essential. Until it is in force, everything so far achieved will remain in jeopardy.

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As Myanmar Reforms, Indonesia Offers Some Lessons - By Anthony Kuhn
NPR (Blogs) - 23 May 2013

As Myanmar's leaders push a series of political and economic changes, they are also having to deal with between the majority Buddhists and minority Muslims, or Rohingya.

Many countries making the transition from authoritarian rule to democracy have faced similar ethnic and sectarian conflicts, from Iraq to the former Yugoslavia.

But for Myanmar, perhaps the most compelling case study is also the closest.

Fifteen years ago this week, a deepening economic crisis and weeks of political unrest in Indonesia forced military dictator Suharto to resign after 30 years in power.

In the months and years that followed, sectarian and ethnic violence raged across the Muslim-majority Indonesian archipelago. Race riots against ethnic Chinese erupted in Jakarta. Ethnic Dayaks fought with Madurese settlers on the island of Borneo. And Muslim jihadis battled Christians in the Maluku Islands. Some feared the country would disintegrate.

But now, Indonesia is widely seen as a vibrant democracy that also has . It seems as if the country got some things right that may also provide lessons for Myanmar as it attempts its own transformation.

A Nation-Building Bandwagon

Indonesia started off on the right foot by uniting the country's diverse peoples in its anti-colonial revolution against the Netherlands, according to University of Toronto political scientist Jacques Bertrand.

"The Indonesian nationalist movement, or the fight against the Dutch, really rallied groups from all the archipelago," Bertrand says. "Whoever was within the territory of the [former] Dutch Indies ... they sort of hopped on the bandwagon of the idea of creating a new state."

In Myanmar, or what was then known as Burma, the independence movement against the Japanese, and later the British, was mostly an enterprise of the Burman majority. The British had used divide-and-rule tactics successfully and cultivated Christian minorities such as the Karen as a hedge against the Burmans.

Myanmar not only lacks an inclusive narrative of nation building, Bertrand says, but it has yet to come up with a formula — such as federalism — under which minorities could join the union. As a result, large parts of Myanmar's border regions remain under rebel control.

Separation Between Military And State

Indonesia was also successful in getting military men to relinquish their posts in government. It shut down military businesses and separated the police force from the military.

The growth of democratic institutions accelerated the military's "return to the barracks." A freer press amplified public demands for better governance and accountability. The government lifted restrictions on political parties, and 48 parties contested elections in 1999, the year after Suharto stepped down. Election turnout has been high at about 80 percent, and instances of violence and vote-rigging have been low.

The process remains unfinished, according to some. . Notably, both Myanmar's and Indonesia's presidents are former army officers.

Myanmar's military retains sweeping emergency powers and extensive control over state budgets. The constitution reserves one-quarter of parliamentary seats for the military, which retains control over vital sectors of the economy, such as energy and international trade.

Also, . Burma's military has also continued offensives against ethnic Kachin insurgents despite President Thein Sein's unilateral declaration of a cease-fire. The president's ministers say he is fully in control of the military. But Myanmar's commander in chief, Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, says the military intends to hang on to its leading role in national politics.

Decentralizing Authority

About the time of Suharto's fall, an Asian financial crisis hit, triggered by the collapse of neighbouring Thailand's currency. This also hit Indonesia, which was faced by demands for local autonomy, Jakarta responded by devolving authority over nearly half of government spending to local governments.

After a quarter-century-long insurgency in westernmost Aceh province, Jakarta made it a special administrative region with the power to legislate Shariah, or Islamic law. It has had less success with West Papua province, where a low-level insurgency still simmers.

Myanmar must address the autonomy issue to end ongoing insurgencies, which are being fought in part for control of resources, including jade, timber and hydropower, and foreign investment in these resources.

These economic issues are often overlooked when ethnic or sectarian violence flares. The University of Toronto's Bertrand points out that the crumbling of authoritarian regimes commonly produces a sense of uncertainty about the future, in which different groups tend to jockey, often violently, for a stronger relative position under the new order.

Religion In The State

At its independence, Indonesia faced a choice of whether to become an Islamic or secular state. It chose secular nationalism, and suppressed radical Islamists who resisted by force. Indonesia's Islamist political parties' share of the vote in two elections over the past decade has dropped from 38 percent to 25 percent. Of course, , notably Sunni extremist groups' persecution of Shiite and Ahmadiyya minority sects.

Myanmar, on the other hand, has used than the Indonesian regime has used Islam, says Melissa Crouch, a legal scholar at the National University of Singapore.

The junta followed in the footsteps of its pre-colonial predecessors, awarding monastic titles, building temples and publicly lavishing money on monks to get their karmic seal of approval. Crouch says there is now talk in Myanmar of amending the constitution to include references to "the special position" of Buddhism in Myanmar.

It's hardly a shock that Myanmar is seen as lagging behind Indonesia. After all, it began its democratic reforms just over two years ago.

What's most lacking to many observers is a clear commitment by Myanmar's government to full civilian rule, equality for minorities and democratic rights for the majority. Without these, the reforms will continue to appear tentative and reversible.

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Burma’s Lucky Bibliophile - By Samantha Michaels |The Irrawaddy|: Interview with Ye Htet Oo, Founder of Tharapa Library
Irrawaddy - 24 May 2013

When the Ministry of Information’s director general visited Ye Htet Oo’s library in 2010, it could have been disastrous. Ye Htet Oo, then a recent college graduate, was running his new library in downtown Rangoon on the sly, without approval from the former military regime, and was told he could face three months in jail for every book he lent without permission from the censorship board. Unable to get a library license from the government, which saw libraries as a way to spread subversive ideas, he fronted his operation as a bookshop but kept a collection of unapproved library books hidden in a back room. Then one day, unknown to the young bibliophile, the ministry’s director general—who has since become the deputy minister of information and President Thein Sein’s spokesman—entered the “bookshop” and walked straight into the secret room.

Still before Burma would begin its transition from military rule, that incident could have been the end of the library, but in an unexpected turn of events, the ministry agreed to not only allow Ye Htet Oo’s operation to continue, but to actually let it expand. From two shelves and about 500 books, his collection has grown to about 18,000 books in circulation today in the Rangoon area. “My journey was quite lucky,” the 27-year-old told The Irrawaddy recently at his nonprofit Tharapa Library, now based in Rangoon’s Hlaing Township. In addition to the main branch, Ye Htet Oo has launched four “mobile libraries” around Rangoon, sending his books to monasteries and other religious centres for students who otherwise lack access. He has also sent about 10,000 books to west Burma’s Arakan State and north Burma’s Kachin State.

With book donations from the American Center in Rangoon and the Asia Foundation, the US-educated librarian funds his book network by teaching SAT prep and TOEFL language lessons to local students. In this interview, he tells The Irrawaddy how Cyclone Nargis helped inspire his library; how the end of censorship has—or hasn’t—changed Burmese literature; why libraries at government schools are in a sad state of affairs; and what happened in the secret room that fateful day that changed his life.

Question: What was it like running a library under the former military regime?

Answer: I started [my library] in 2009, but until 2010 my library was not registered with the government. The township government wouldn’t allow us to submit an application [for library registration] because I was trying to start my library on 28th Street [in downtown Rangoon], and the [pro-democracy] Saffron Revolution happened in 2007, so they didn’t want people to gather in one place and share ideas. I was quite upset, because the township leader said that if I had books without approval from the censorship board, I could face three months in jail for each book, whether they were about politics or anything else.

Q: So you weren’t getting approval from the censorship board before lending your books?

A: It was a risk. But I have to say, in the development of this library, I met a lot of good people. Despite what the township government said, an official at the lower level of government was a good guy, so I talked to him. After his boss said no, he said he could help. He recommended that I apply for a bookstore license from the municipality, which was kind of legal, and he said that if I wanted to have English books, I should hide them in a room and keep the Burmese books outside.

Q: The government didn’t want you to lend English-language books?

A: Because they couldn’t manage those books, so they didn’t want to take the risk.

Q: Did many other libraries also pretend to be bookstores?

A: At that time, there weren’t many libraries yet [besides government-owned libraries], especially in townships. Most libraries were attached to monasteries, but there weren’t many libraries like mine—outside, renting a room and operating like that, although now there are a lot.

After [opening the library] I asked people at the Ministry of Information what I should do to have a library. I kept talking with them, and after a year, I still didn’t have a license. But I was lucky—one day the Information Ministry called me and said I could submit my application, they would allow me to register as a library. I went to their office, I couldn’t believe it, and I asked what made them change their minds. They said the [ministry’s] director general had visited my library—I didn’t know—and he was in the English room as well. You know who he is now? He’s the presidential spokesman, Ye Htut. He was director general at that time. He visited my library without telling anyone, but I never saw him, I never knew. I had a chance to talk with him three months ago, and I asked how he heard about me. One of his kids attended English class upstairs and told him my library was good, so he decided to visit and saw I was very systematic with my stuff. He asked [the ministry] if the library was registered and they said I had a problem, so he decided to issue a library registration. At the time, the information minister was strict, so I was thankful for what he did with his authority. My journey was quite lucky.

Q: Is it easier to start libraries now, under the new government?

A: Yes, I’m sure it is easy to register, very easy right now.

Q: You went to a university in the United States. When did you get back to Rangoon?

A: In 2008, May, just before Nargis. That was part of my inspiration, or one reason why I wanted to make the library. Because I could see and feel that we had been destroyed, that we were unprepared, because we lacked knowledge. And I saw a lot of things I shouldn’t see—the mindset of people was upsetting. People would get on a boat, and the boatman would try to steal their stuff; people were exploiting each other, even though we were in troubled times. That’s because we lacked ethics, knowledge. So I felt we should do something to help give knowledge. I know I’m not going to fulfil the whole country’s needs, but who knows, maybe we’ll get more people to join our cause.

Q: What is a mobile library and why did you create them?

A: I call them mobile libraries because my books were moving. I chose to open my libraries at religious centres so I wouldn’t lose books, and also because the religious leaders like monks and bishops knew the local people better than we did. I started talking with the religious leaders, asking if we could come put our books in their corner. Right now I have four mobile libraries—two in Thanlyin, one in Shwepyitha and another in Insein [townships].

Q: How is Burma’s reading culture changing now that the censorship board has been disbanded?

A: Censorship is gone, but even so, with literature, not many good books are coming out. Books that weren’t allowed under the military government are being reprinted, that’s it. … Censorship is gone so people can write more, but all the books are about politics. Most books are about the past experience of political prisoners, how they spent their lives in jail, how they were arrested. This is good to know, but doesn’t give much knowledge to improve your life. Maybe if they could try to explain why they decided to devote their lives to their country, I think that would be better.

Q: Was fiction more popular before?

A: I’ll say yes, but before we focused on jokes, like funny stories, because daily life was very difficult and nobody wanted to read heavy stuff when they were trying to relax. That’s understandable. And the military government affected the reading culture by systematically destroying critical thinking skills and ethics. I think the country will improve, but right now most libraries are struggling, including mine, because we need to promote reading. We’re trying but it’s very hard.

Have you seen the book corners near the train stations? They’re supported by the Ministry of Information, because in Myanmar [Burma] you don’t have train schedules, you just have to wait, so the idea is to promote reading while you’re waiting. The books are free. Tharapa Library is cooperating with this effort, but we’re running into budget problems. The government doesn’t want people to keep the books, so normally they assign two of their staff to a book corner—right now there are 77 book corners around the country. Two people at 77 book corners is a lot of officials. Also there are budget issues: One book corner costs 70,000 kyats ($75) per month.

Q: Are certain Western authors really popular here?

A: Among Burmese students who study internationally, Agatha Christie is a favourite. They also like the Twilight series and teen magazines. Students from government schools, like myself, often prefer older books like Sherlock Holmes.

Q: In Burma’s government-run schools, are there literature classes?

A: In government schools, no. The teachers focus on science, math, biology, chemistry. I went to State High School No. 1 Dagon, one of the good schools in Myanmar, and even though we had a lot of funding with a big computer room, we didn’t have a library. Well, we had a library, but it was only filled with old journals and computer magazines that nobody read. The government is giving funds for libraries, that’s for sure, but the libraries aren’t getting better. The library at my old school, it’s the same now as it was when I was in second grade.

Q: How does the reading culture in Burma compare to reading culture the United States?

A: In Myanmar, I think we have a more active reading culture. Many places here are not developed yet—even if you drive two hours from Yangon [Rangoon], you will reach a place where there’s no electricity, so in those places the only outlet people have is books. But, as I said, they like to read humour books. But the reading culture in Myanmar is really promising. Reading habits are better [here than in the States], and people give high respect to writers. People go listen to their favourite writers give literary talks.

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HIV/AIDS an ongoing issue in Burma - By Casey Hynes
Asian Correspondent - 24 May 2013

The news that comes out of Burma generally doesn’t fall in the optimistic category. Anti-Muslim violence, flare-ups between the Burmese government and ethnic armies and reports of activists and dissidents being jailed paint a grim picture of the political and human rights situation.

A piece of encouraging news, however, is that Burma’s HIV/AIDS infection rate is on the decline. But this, like so many other promising stories coming out of the country, is tainted by deeper, related, concerns. HIV/AIDS is still the number one disease of concern in the country, followed by malaria and tuberculosis. Burma has one of the highest HIV rates in Asia, and a scarcity of medicine means this continues to be a very real problem in the country.

Those who have HIV struggle to access treatment and medication, often until their condition is quite advanced. A lack of anti-retroviral (ART) drugs in the country means that people must wait until they are so sick their quality of life begins to deteriorate before they might even have a chance at getting medicine.

A guide at the Mae Tao Clinic in Mae Sot, Thailand, which provides free health services to Burmese migrants in Thailand and those who cross the border simply for medical care, said that while clinic staff can test for HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis, they do not have the resources to treat those infected. In many cases, she said, those who are diagnosed with these diseases are sent back to Burma. However, the number of medications there are so limited that only those in advanced stages can access treatment.

According to the Myanmar National Strategic Plan 2011-2015, only 28 percent of those infected with HIV were receiving treatment as of 2009. The report stated that a large number of those infected were sex workers, which highlights the risk of having such a low treatment rate, as these sex workers are likely to be sleeping with high numbers of clients and potentially passing on the infection. The other two major at-risk groups are men who have sex with men and intravenous drug users.

The Global Post reported in 2012 that in addition to the scarcity of ARTs, gaining access to those medicines is further complicated because only two hospitals in the country distribute them. The Global Post writer also noted that ART distribution is limited to people living in certain townships, making it even more difficult for those in need to get them.

UNAIDS estimated that in 220,000 people in Burma were infected with HIV/AIDS, that 16,000 died from the disease and 74,000 were orphaned because of it.

While a small segment of the population is infected, the problems are serious. The fact that so little medication is available is a veritable death sentence for thousands of people living with HIV/AIDS. Because they don’t get treatment before the disease advances, they have an increased likelihood of transmitting the virus, perpetuating the problem.

Nonetheless, in 2012, the Burmese government declared that it aims to have an HIV-free generation of children by 2015. This can be achieved through providing early treatment to pregnant mothers who have the virus; getting them anti-retroviral treatment early in the pregnancy can reduce the risk of passing the virus on to the child to five percent, according to UNAIDS. The organization reported that in 2011, “84% of the estimated 3700 pregnant women living with HIV received antiretroviral prophylaxis to prevent transmission of HIV to their babies.” They went on to note, however, that less than one third of pregnant women in the country are tested for HIV, which means large swaths of those preparing to give birth could be at risk of passing it on.

As part of its plan to eliminate HIV in children, the government plans to broaden its reach with testing services to more women.

Burma’s Minister of Health, Professor Dr Pe Thet Khin, has been quoted as saying that his department believes that by 2015 children in Burma can be born free of HIV and their mothers can remain healthy to raise them, according to UNAIDS.

But there is reason for scepticism with these goals. A lack of funding has been a consistent problem when it comes to getting HIV/AIDS patients the medicines they need, and a lack of information also contributes to its spread. If the Burmese government wants to rid their country of AIDS, these things will need to be addressed as fundamentals in the fight against this disease.

And as is the case for HIV/AIDS patients around the world, there is also the issue of social stigma that comes with the virus.

Reuters reported last year on the loneliness and abandonment many face when their conditions become known.

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EdOp: Prisoners of Mae Sot  - By Stephen Campbell
Mizzima -24 May 2013

A little over a week ago, a young Myanmar friend of mine, let's call him Myo, found himself hiding in some farm fields, avoiding the Thai police while being smuggled from Mae Sot to Bangkok.  Unlike many other undocumented migrants who get smuggled—and sometimes arrested—in this way, Myo had applied for a passport and work permit through Thailand's legal registration process.  Myo's situation thus speaks to the dysfunction of Thailand's current migrant registration system.  But this needs some explanation.

Over the past two decades, the district of Mae Sot on the Thai-Myanmar border has seen a rapid development boom.  This growth has been based on a huge reserve of mostly undocumented migrants from neighbouring Myanmar.  A lack of documentation for legal residence and work, combined with lax enforcement of labour law, has constrained the abilities of migrants in Mae Sot to claim their legal rights.  As a result, working conditions in the area remain dreadful, with wages typically one quarter to one half the legal minimum.

A few years ago, however, it seemed things might begin to change.  In 2009, the Thai and Myanmar governments collaborated to introduce “temporary passports” with official work permits for migrants in Thailand.  Those holding these documents were to be granted legal freedom of movement and the right to seek employment across the country.  In Mae Sot, the process only really picked up in late 2011, when the number of private passport companies and independent brokers exploded.

At that time, large numbers of migrants in Mae Sot took the opportunity to legally leave the border area for higher paying jobs in Bangkok and its surrounding provinces.  The result was a sudden drop in workforce numbers at many Mae Sot factories.  If the trend had continued, the decline in the local migrant population would have presumably driven up wages for those who remained.

Worried of an impending labour shortage, the Federation of Thai Industries (Tak Chapter) appealed to the Government of Tak Province to stem the outward flow of migrants.  In response, Tak officials issued instructions to Mae Sot police in June 2012, barring migrants holding passports but not (or not yet) registered for work outside Mae Sot from freely travelling past the checkpoints on the main road out of town.

These restrictions were in violation of the Thai government's policy on the migrant passports.  To date, however, the restrictions remain in place.  To get around them, some migrants have been able to pay a 500 baht bribe to the police operating the affected checkpoints.  For the most part, however, these restrictions continue to frustrate the efforts of Mae Sot-based migrants hoping to legally seek higher paying work in Bangkok, or elsewhere in Thailand.

The case of my friend Myo is illustrative.  Earlier this year, Myo left his home town in Karen State to join the legions of Myanmar migrants working in Thailand.  His port of entry was Mae Sot.  His younger sister (who already works in Bangkok) had lined him up a retail job paying 300 baht per day near her own place of employment.

This was February 2013, during an extension period for migrant registration, which the Thai government had granted due to the large number of those yet to apply.  The Thai and Myanmar governments had also reduced their respective charges, bringing the official cost of the passport and work permit down to less than 5,000 baht.

The policy at this time was for the Mae Sot Department of Employment to receive and process the applications.  However, many migrants who tried to apply through this office were told their applications lacked certain documents or pieces of information, and they were strongly encouraged to apply with a private passport company.

Thus, like most migrants in Mae Sot, Myo submitted his application through a private company.  He was charged 11,000 baht.  That's more than twice the official cost, but still not as much as what less scrupulous brokers are demanding.

After waiting over two months, the passport company informed Myo that Mae Sot authorities would not allow the distribution within Mae Sot of work permits registered with employers elsewhere in Thailand.  The company assured Myo that they had arranged safe travel for him and the other applicants to collect their documents in Bangkok.  However, since they would be travelling undocumented, they all needed to pay an additional 500 baht “police fee” along with travel expenses.

This seemed odd to both of us.  After all, if Myo had applied through the legal process, why did he need to be illegally smuggled to collect documentation for legal residence and work in Thailand.

In any case, Myo soon left for Bangkok.  But he didn't get very far.  The passport company drove him and 60 or so other migrants to a village outside Mae Sot where they were put in an empty house and told to wait, as it was not yet conducive to travel.  After waiting two days, these migrants were taken down a back road, stopped by police and ordered back to town.  The “police fee” was apparently insufficient.

A few days later, they tried again.  This time, while waiting at the same village as before, the migrants were suddenly told the police had been tipped off and they (the migrants) needed to immediately flee and hide in the nearby fields, which they did.  When things settled, they all returned to Mae Sot, where, for the moment, my friend Myo remains stuck.  The passport company is now saying they may no longer be able to arrange work permits registered for employment outside Mae Sot.

While these restrictions on the travel of migrants out of Mae Sot remain in place, there are several implications that deserve consideration.  The first is that thousands of migrants who want to legally leave Mae Sot continue to be denied freedom of movement to access higher paying work elsewhere in Thailand.  Second, these restrictions serve as an important means of suppressing wages in Mae Sot, by maintaining the area's pool of reserve labour.  Many of those planning to stay in Mae Sot have thus opted not to apply for passports, remaining instead in a precarious situation as undocumented migrants, since they can either not afford this documentation or else they see little benefit to it in terms of higher wages.  Third, human smuggling from Mae Sot to Bangkok continues despite the formal existence of legal alternatives.  The going rate for undocumented migrants to get smuggled from Mae Sot to Bangkok is 15,000 baht (or 8,000 baht if you're willing to walk the first three days).  The smuggling business (to say nothing of trafficking) is only viable because of barriers to above ground alternatives.

For the moment, it remains unclear how the situation will develop.  Employers in Mae Sot do not appear keen to pay the legal minimum wage or to follow Thailand's labour law more generally.  At the same time, there are employment opportunities for migrants in Central Thailand paying the legal minimum, or at least closer to it than what is offered in Mae Sot.  Migrants will therefore continue to seek ways out of Mae Sot, regardless of the restrictions in place.  What these restrictions do, however, is increase the viability of far more precarious alternatives.  The resulting situation is a far cry from the goal of regularising migration, which these passports were meant to achieve.

Stephen Campbell is a PhD student at the University of Toronto, currently based in Mae Sot.

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Opening up Myanmar puts heat on India - By Ding Gang
Global Times - 23 May 2013

China and India declared during Chinese Premier Li Keqiang's recent visit to India that they have jointly proposed developing an economic corridor joining Bangladesh, China, India and Myanmar, thus promoting a closer relationship between the two largest Asian markets.

The Sino-Indian relationship seems to be obstructed. Many have attributed this to the unresolved border issue. Indeed, a clear demarcation of the border is important, but only time will tell when the issue can be solved. Before that, strengthening bilateral communication is equally important.

The roads and rails linking China and Southeast Asia with India will play an unexpected role.

India will be drawn into the wave of economic development in China and Southeast Asian countries like Thailand. Impelled by its powerful competitors, India will finally open its own markets more. Competition will also enhance India's own confidence and accelerate its "Look East" agenda.

Not long ago, I drove to Sukhothai, a famous city in northern Thailand. To its east, the hub links Laos and Vietnam, and to its west are Myanmar, Bangladesh and India. It also crosses the road linking China's Kunming, Yunnan Province, with the Thai capital of Bangkok.

Ninety kilometres west of this crossing point is the town of Mae Sot of Thailand, which shares a border with Myanmar. On the trip, I saw many trucks loaded with heavy goods crawling along the road and construction work busily being carried out.

This is a crucial gateway from Thailand and China to Myanmar. In Southeast Asia's border trade, the trade volume of the Mae Sot port is ranked second, next only to the Muse port on the border shared by China and Myanmar.

But from Mae Sot to Myanmar's Moulmein port, the rugged and rough path is more than 100 kilometres long and some sections have space enough for only one vehicle. The road from Moulmein to Yangon is dilapidated as well.

Many roads and railways are like this within Myanmar. Blocked by the sluggish transportation of Myanmar, India hasn't directly experienced the economic vitality of China and Southeast Asian countries or enjoyed the economic benefits in the region.

India's north is next to Nepal and China's Tibetan Autonomous Region, which are dominated by undulating mountains.

I used to travel along the road linking China and Nepal, but discovered the road condition was so bad that even medium-sized trucks needed to go gingerly.

The complex ethnic issues also make it difficult to link China and India from India's northernmost regions.

It is therefore much easier to connect the two via Myanmar from India's east, which can also promote the integration of economies of China, ASEAN and South Asia.

Myanmar is situated between China and India, the world's largest two developing countries. Its geopolitical advantages are notable.

To its northeast lies China's Yunnan Province where the road and railways are quite developed. To its east is Thailand, whose transportation infrastructure is well-developed. Recently, the Thai government decided to invest $76 billion to build high-speed rail, which is expected to connect Laos, Malaysia and China.

If Myanmar is opened up, India will be directly linked with ASEAN and China. Goods from China, Thailand and Vietnam will be transported straight to India. Of course India will feel some pressure. But India at the moment perhaps really needs to be pushed.

The Indian economy has encountered some storms in recent years. There are many obstacles for the country to open up its markets. Its "Look East" agenda is also restrained. An outside economic push may promote India's internal reforms.

Nathu La, one of the open trading border posts between China and India, hasn't been fully developed due to a lack of outside pressure.

If Myanmar gets involved, India will feel the heat. India doesn't lack the potential for development, but it needs outside force to activate such potential.

The author is a senior editor with People's Daily. He's now stationed in Bangkok. dinggang@globaltimes.com.cn

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Previous Headlines

23/05/2013

News – Ethnic nationalities/Border conflict/ Ethnic Armies

Kachin Peace talks set for Myitkyina next week - KNG - 23 May 2013

ABSDF, government meet for peace talks - S.H.A.N. - 23 May 2013

Kayin Unity and Peace Council to act as mediator in negotiation among Kayin’s armed groups - Eleven News Media - 22 May 2013

Wa will not budge from Thai border areas - S.H.A.N. - 23 May 2013

News – Burmese President’s U.S. visit

U Thein Sein's vision for 'inclusive national identity' - Myanmar Times - 23 May 2013

News – General & International

Monks protest in Shan capital after officials demolish monastery - DVB - 23 May 2013

NGOs Step up Pressure on Firms Bidding to Exploit Burma’s Resources - Irrawaddy - 23 May 2013

Shan NGOs call for halt to pipeline - Mizzima - 23 May 2013

Rakhine IDP camps still lack basic supplies - Mizzima - 23 May 2013

Police Arrest Alleged Myanmar Embassy Bombing Plot Mastermind - Jakarta Globe - 23 May 2013

News – Government / Political Parties

China should discuss Myitsone issue only with president: Suu Kyi - Eleven News Media - 22 May 2013

Parliament likely to seek approval for freeing remaining political prisoners - Eleven News Media - 22 May 2013

News – Business / Economy / Industry

Myanmar's 'goldrush' luring foreigners in droves - AFP - 23 May 2013

Myanmar Economy May Grow 6.75% This Year on Gas Output, IMF Says - Bloomberg - 22 May 2013

Analysis / Opinion

Commentary: Burma’s Ex-Dictator and His Invisible Line - By Kyaw Zwa Moe |The Irrawaddy| - Irrawaddy - 22 May 2013

Editorial: Rewards for Myanmar - The Jakarta Post - 22 May 2013

Premature praise for Burma's press reforms - By Shawn W. Crispin - CPJ - 22 May 2013

Burma and Turkey: Obama’s Muslim Human Rights Double Standard - By Daniel Greenfield - Frontpage Mag - 21 May 2013

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